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A cyclone that is traveling three kilometers per hour toward the coasts of Pakistan and India is expected to have a severe atmospheric effect on the coastal regions of the two neighboring countries, forcing the authorities of both nations to organize a mass evacuation from the coastal towns.
The cyclone in the Arabian Sea, called Biparjoy (meaning “disaster” in Bengali), is classified as a very severe cyclonic storm (VSCS) based on the most recent prediction.
According to the update released this morning, it had virtually moved northward and was located close to latitude 21.9°N and longitude 66.3°E, or around 280 km west-southwest of Jakhau Port (Gujarat) and 340 km south-southwest of Karachi.
The storm is presently 370 kilometers distant from Karachi, according to information released by the Pakistan Meteorological Department.
By the evening of June 15, it is expected to move almost northeast today, recurve northeastward, and pass between Keti Bandar and the adjacent Indian coasts between Karachi and Mandvi (Gujarat), close to Jakhau Port (Gujarat), as a very strong, very sustained storm with gusts up to 150 mph.
As the hurricane gets closer, officials are still on high alert and mass evacuations are in progress in both nations’ coastal zones.
The Indian Met Department warns of heavy rains with thunderstorms due to Biparjoy, and places close to the shore, such as Karachi, Thatta, Sujawal, and Badin, are in high danger of coastal flooding.
Because of the dangerously high water level along the coastal belt and the very turbulent Arabian water, fishermen are warned to go out to sea when the system passes by June 17.
To see live coverage of Cyclone Biparjoy, click this link. Potential effects on Pakistani coastal areas:
— Thatta, Sujawal, Badin, Tharparker, Mirpurkhas, and Umerkot districts are anticipated to see widespread wind-dust/thunderstorm rain with some very heavy/extremely heavy rains accompanied by squally winds of 80-100 KM gusting 120 km between June 13–17.
Dust/thunderstorm rain with a few severe downpours and gusts of 60–80 km/h are predicted for the districts of Karachi, Hyderabad, Tando Muhammad Khan, Tando Allayar, Shaheed Benazirabad, and Sanghar between June 14 and 16.
During June 14–16, there is a possibility of dust/thunderstorm-rain, with sporadic heavy rainfall in the Hub and Lasbella districts of Balochistan.
High-intensity squallies have the potential to harm loose and exposed structures, such as solar panels, on Kutcha homes.
At the landfall location (Keti Bandar and surrounding areas), a storm surge of three to five meters (8 to 12 feet) is predicted, which might submerge the low-lying communities.
— Sea conditions may become severe to extremely rough (2 meters) around the Balochistan coast (Sonmiani, Hub, Kund Malir, Ormara, and environs) and very rough to high (2–2.5 meters) on the Sindh coast.
Potential effects on coastal regions in India: On June 14, there is a high probability of heavy to very heavy rainfall in some isolated locations over the districts of Kachchh, Devbhumi Dwarka, Porbandar, Jamnagar, Rajkot, Junagarh, and Morbi in Saurashtra and Kutch.
On June 15, the intensity of the rainfall is expected to increase, with isolated heavy to very heavy falls and heavy to very heavy rainfall in some places over Kachchh, Devbhumi Dwarka, and Jamnagar; heavy to very heavy rainfall in some districts of Gujarat; and isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall in some districts of Saurashtra and the north Gujarat region.
On June 16 and June 17, there is likely to be light to moderate rainfall in most locations, with isolated areas experiencing heavy to very heavy rainfall. On June 17, rainfall is expected in southeast Rajasthan and the neighboring region of North Gujarat.
